Analysis

Bitcoin Market Analysis – May 2025 Outlook with CDDStamp Indicators

As of May 2025, the Bitcoin market is transitioning through a critical threshold, driven by both on-chain data and technical indicators. The CDDStamp custom analytics suite provides more precise and earlier signals compared to traditional indicators, offering a sharper and more timely outlook. Below is a chart-based breakdown of critical Bitcoin metrics, ordered by relevance. […]

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Bitcoin Hourly On-Chain & Price Analysis – Insights from the Past 14 Days (as of May 16)

Data Range: Last 14 daysCandle Type: 1 Hour (1H) 🔹 1. Price & Volatility Metrics Average Hourly Price (OHLC Mean): $100,452 Average Hourly Volatility: 0.55%This indicates an average 0.55% price fluctuation per hour. 🔹 2. Realized Price Metrics STH (Short-Term Holder) Average: $98,622 LTH (Long-Term Holder) Average: $48,119 STH-LTH Spread: $50,503This large spread suggests short-term

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Altcoin Valuations Are Climbing — True Bull Market or Just Rotation?

In recent weeks, a notable divergence has emerged in the crypto market: while Bitcoin maintains its trend, the altcoin market cap (TOTAL3) has shown a significant recovery. But is this rally a sign of a sustainable expansion, or merely a temporary rotation rally? 🔍 What Does NUPL (CDDStamp Version) Say? CDDStamp’s block-based NUPL metric differs

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Introduction: Engineering the Illusion of a Rising Bitcoin Price

The Hidden ETF Script: How Bitcoin Price Is Being Inflated with Fake Volume   As of 2025, the notable surges in Bitcoin prices have reignited bullish excitement among investors. However, when we examine the underlying volume data and on-chain behavior, it becomes evident that this rally is driven more by institutional manipulation tactics than real

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Specific Analysis: “ETF Wars and Their Impact on Bitcoin Price”

  We have previously discussed this topic in a brief article. You can read it here. This way you can understand the topic better. When reviewing recent ETF data (BlackRock, Fidelity, Ark Invest, Grayscale, etc.), the following trends are clearly visible: ETF fund balances are increasing → Especially throughout April, major funds like ARK, BlackRock,

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Bitcoin Under Pressure: Short-Term Leverage Risks and Trading Strategy, 27 April

Bitcoin Market Analysis: Leverage, Funding, and Risk Assessment (Short-Term) Recent data highlights a highly leveraged and fragile Bitcoin market. Let’s break it down: 🚀Join CDDStamp for free and unlock instant access to these powerful insights — no cost, just alpha.   🔵 1. Estimated Leverage Ratio (ELR) The ELR has surged above 80, indicating extreme

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On-Chain Data Doesn’t Lie: Bitcoin Detailed Analysis, April 26, 2025

1. 🧠 On-Chain Analysis 📊 NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) Current Status: NUPL remains in the positive zone (above 100%), but has been trending downward since the beginning of the year. Comment: A significant portion of investors are still in profit. However, the decline in NUPL suggests profit-taking and a potential market saturation point approaching. 🚀Join

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Short-Term Holders Are Back in Profit: OnChain Data Signals a Major Bitcoin Move!

🔍 STH Realized Price (Short-Term Holder Realized Price) Analysis📌 Definition & ImportanceThe STH Realized Price indicates the average cost basis of investors who purchased Bitcoin within the last 155 days. 🚀Join CDDStamp for free and unlock instant access to these powerful insights — no cost, just alpha.   Prices above this level typically represent profitable

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Bitcoin Faces Liquidity Squeeze Amid Rising Leverage and Exchange Reserves, April 2025

📊 1. Exchange Reserves & BLR (Bitcoin Liquidity Ratio) Exchange Reserves (Blue): From April 5 to 10, BTC reserves on exchanges increased notably, followed by a decline. BLR (Orange): Around April 15–16, the BLR spiked sharply. Since BLR = Exchange Reserves / Trading Volume, this implies either a drop in trading volume or an increase

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Market on the Edge: Bitcoin Market Analysis — April 9, 2025

Based on the latest on-chain and derivative data, here’s a detailed breakdown of current Bitcoin market conditions: 📉 1. BTC Price & Leverage Ratio (MA10) ⚙️ Estimated Leverage Ratio = Open Interest / (Funding Rate × Mark Price)   The estimated leverage ratio (10-day moving average) tends to rise before sharp price drops. This typically

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